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Intelligent Acceptance
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Intelligent Acceptance
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01 – Overview
Checkout.com
Intelligent Acceptance
An AI-powered optimization engine that boosts acceptance rates and increases merchant revenue

Intelligent Acceptance is Checkout.com’s AI-powered payment optimisation engine, built to fight false declines, a $50.7 billion problem of legitimate payments that fail because of technical friction, outdated routing or issuer preferences that merchants have no way to see. Its machine learning models are trained on more than twenty billion transaction data points and make real-time decisions on live payments, adjusting how each transaction is messaged to the issuer, selecting the best routing path, choosing between a network token and full card details, and applying authentication exemptions where regulation allows.

By 2024 the engine was performing well, but adoption had stalled at around half of Checkout’s total processed volume. The reasons had little to do with the quality of the models. Merchants were being asked to agree pricing before they had seen evidence that the product worked for their own traffic, thirty-day trials often ended before the results were statistically meaningful, and the Dashboard reduced hundreds of decisions on every transaction to a number that merchants could not verify or explain internally.

The objective of the initiative was to increase paid adoption by changing how Intelligent Acceptance established and communicated merchant-specific value. Rather than asking merchants to commit before the evidence existed, we wanted to identify those with enough traffic to prove performance, demonstrate the improvement on their own live payments, and only present a commercial opportunity once that value was credible and sustained. The product also needed to explain the result clearly enough for payments and finance teams to understand, trust and defend internally.

The rebuilt Intelligent Acceptance dashboard, leading with revenue recovered and an acceptance rate boost proven against an untouched control group – Light mode The rebuilt Intelligent Acceptance dashboard, leading with revenue recovered and an acceptance rate boost proven against an untouched control group – Dark mode

As Director of Product Design, I set the strategy and product direction around two principles: prove value before selling, and explain without overwhelming. I developed the adoption strategy with Product leadership and worked closely with a product designer to translate it into the merchant experience. I established the guiding principles, shaped iterations and experiments, reviewed the design work and ran workshops with Product, Engineering, Data Science, Account Management and Commercial. My direct focus was the adoption model and the structure of the rebuilt Dashboard.

02 – What Intelligent Acceptance does
What Intelligent Acceptance does

Every card payment travels from the merchant, through the card networks, to the bank that decides whether to approve it. A legitimate payment can fail anywhere along that path for reasons that have nothing to do with the customer or their funds. Intelligent Acceptance runs on a merchant’s payments and makes a set of decisions on each one to give it the best possible chance of being approved. A proportion of transactions is deliberately left unoptimised, creating a control group against which the product’s effect can be measured.

The engine can choose the route most likely to succeed, format the request in the way an issuer prefers to receive it, decide whether extra authentication is necessary, use a network token in place of full card details, and retry a declined payment using a different approach. It runs around 26,000 optimisations every minute across Checkout’s network. None of this changes what the customer sees at checkout. It changes what happens to the payment in the seconds afterwards, and how often it succeeds.

Payment request
Intelligent Acceptance
Dynamic routing
Picks the route most likely to succeed across debit, local and global payment networks
Network tokens
Decides between network token or FPAN based on issuer adoption and preferences
Adaptive messaging
Formats the authorization message to match schemes and issuers’ preferences
Smart authentication
Decides whether SCA is needed improving the authentication requests to maximize success
Intelligent retries
Dynamically selects the best retry strategy for each decline if the first attempt fails
Control group
% of traffic not optimized
Issuer decision
Declined
Approved
Approved or declined
Optimized acceptance rate
Control group
acceptance rate
Boost
Optimized acceptance rate compared against the untouched control group
Above: The decisions Intelligent Acceptance can make on a payment, alongside the control group retained so the difference can be measured.

Checkout calls the measured difference in acceptance rate between the optimised traffic and the control group the Boost. The size of that Boost depends on each merchant’s mix of issuers, card types, geographies and payment patterns. Those differences are significant enough that the result cannot be predicted reliably in advance. It only becomes clear once the engine has run on that merchant’s own live traffic.

That created the central commercial problem. The evidence needed to sell Intelligent Acceptance only existed after the product was already running, while the existing model asked merchants to agree to it before anyone could show them what it was worth.

03 – The adoption model was failing
The adoption model was failing

For a product that recovered revenue for merchants, Intelligent Acceptance was surprisingly difficult to sell. Every new conversation began with one of two imperfect choices: sign a pricing quote before seeing any merchant specific evidence, or enter a thirty day free trial and hope the data resolved before the trial ended.

Payment performance data is noisy. A month was frequently not long enough to reach statistical significance, the point at which Data Science could show that an improvement in acceptance rate was caused by the product rather than chance. Trials failed because the measurement window had failed. Account Managers responded by extending them to sixty or ninety days, which weakened the urgency of the sale and, over time, the merchant’s confidence in the result.

We spoke with merchants, Account Managers and Commercial leads across tiers, reviewed support requests and went back through the history of past trials. The same connected problems appeared repeatedly.

Ineffective targeting
The existing eligibility criteria, including a floor of fifty thousand transactions a month and limits on particular traffic types, were useful as rough filters but could not predict who would benefit. They ruled in merchants whose results never resolved and ruled out others for whom the product could have worked.
Price before evidence
Merchants were being asked to commit to a product they did not yet understand. Commercial teams told us that agreeing a fee was often less difficult than proving the value once a trial was already running.
Trials that ran out of time
Too many merchants entered trials without enough volume to produce a reliable result within thirty days. An inconclusive trial looked like a failed product, which was often worse than never running one.
No shared view of performance
Product and Commercial teams could not monitor active trials consistently or learn systematically from completed ones. Each sales conversation began with a new round of manual analysis.
A black-box experience
The Dashboard reported a Boost without accounting for it. Payments teams could see that the number was higher, but not why it was higher, how it had been measured or whether they could defend the fee internally.

The Dashboard also had more fundamental credibility problems. Metrics changed with small adjustments to the date range, some revenue figures did not accumulate in ways merchants found trustworthy, and empty states did not explain when there was too little data to show. Only around four in ten merchants had statistically significant results. Many of the rest had too little volume for the measurement ever to resolve, so they bypassed the product and requested payment-performance reports through their Account Managers instead.

The original Intelligent Acceptance Dashboard, showing headline performance without enough evidence for a merchant to trace or defend the result
Above: The original Dashboard, showing headline performance without enough evidence for a merchant to trace or defend the result.

The strongest insight from our research was that price was not the primary barrier. Merchants were willing to let machine learning act on their payments, but they were reluctant to pay for a result they could not verify. If Intelligent Acceptance could prove value on a merchant’s own traffic and explain that value in terms their finance and payments teams accepted, the commercial conversation could move from persuasion to confirmation.

04 – Redefining the approach
Redefining the approach

We began by exploring how the existing trial model could be improved. This included whether pricing was the real barrier to adoption, whether access should be limited by time, features or traffic volume, and how trial length should vary according to a merchant’s ability to reach statistical significance.

We pressure tested several approaches with Account Managers and Commercial leads. A permanent limited usage offer looked attractive because it removed the artificial time constraint, but Account Managers argued that an offer with no decision point would remove the urgency needed to convert interest into a paid commitment. Limiting the free experience by feature was also the wrong trade-off. Merchants needed to see the complete optimisation engine working on real payments, not a reduced version that could not demonstrate its full effect.

The first proposal therefore kept a firm end date but varied the duration according to the merchant’s traffic profile. Strong fits would receive a three month trial aimed at conversion; others would receive six months, giving the measurement more time to resolve and giving Data Science more evidence with which to improve the models. The free experience would be limited by the share of traffic being optimised rather than by the capabilities available.

Turning that model into a target list required segmenting Checkout’s entire merchant base by volume, traffic composition and prior product history. That analysis identified the merchants with enough traffic to prove a result and established a credible route from 51% to 76% of Checkout’s total processed volume on the product. It converted a design proposition into a quantified commercial opportunity and gave the programme a clear basis for prioritisation.

Merchant segmentation funnel splitting Checkout's total processed volume into live, previously onboarded and never-onboarded merchants, narrowing down to the target base
Above: Merchant segmentation used to identify the target base, separating existing users, previous declines or offboarded merchants, viable candidates and those below the volume required to reach significance.

The proposal improved targeting and trial design, but it still left the most important problem untouched: the merchant had to agree before the evidence existed. Reviewing the model with Product and Data Science led to the turning point. Intelligent Acceptance already operated through the merchant’s existing integration, so the evidence did not need to wait for the sales process. A portion of traffic could begin building a merchant-specific result in the background, allowing the first commercial conversation to open with evidence rather than a request.

That thinking became Shadow Mode, an internal name for the mechanism that underpinned a new adoption strategy: prove value first, then push.

05 – Prove value, then push
Prove value, then push

Shadow Mode allowed Intelligent Acceptance to establish performance on a merchant’s own live traffic before a commercial conversation began. It used the merchant’s existing integration, so no implementation work was required before the evidence could build. Merchants never saw the internal name. When the result was eventually surfaced, the experience spoke only about their payments, their measured improvement and what it could be worth across their full volume.

The traffic split varied by merchant rather than being applied uniformly. Larger merchants typically had 10% to 20% of their traffic optimised, limiting exposure while still producing enough volume to measure. Smaller merchants could have up to half of their traffic optimised because they were more likely to struggle to reach significance. The remaining traffic formed the control group, and the higher-risk optimisations were disabled while the merchant remained in Shadow Mode.

Data Science set a 0.5 percentage-point improvement in acceptance rate as the threshold at which the observed result reached statistical significance. We added a second guardrail: the improvement had to remain above that threshold for two consecutive months. That prevented a short-lived spike from being mistaken for sustained value and reduced the risk of selling the product to a merchant who was unlikely to benefit.

Merchant added to Shadow mode
Intelligent Acceptance AI models optimise a
share of the traffic based on merchant size,
with the rest held as a control
Boost automatically checked
against the control group
Boost held at 0.5%+ consistently
for two months
Is the merchant
managed?
Account Manager notified,
reaches out personally
Automated notification
sent to merchant
Commercial conversation
No
Yes
No
Yes
Above: Simplified Shadow Mode decision logic, showing merchant segmentation, traffic allocation, statistical threshold and the two-month consistency requirement.

Once a merchant cleared that bar, their Dashboard updated automatically with the proven result and the appropriate activation path began. Proof alone was not enough, however. The product also had to make the evidence understandable, because a statistically valid number still has little commercial value if the merchant cannot explain where it came from.

06 – The activation experience
The activation experience

Once a merchant cleared the threshold, the commercial experience could begin with evidence rather than persuasion. The merchant already had a measured result on live traffic. The activation journey needed to make that result visible, show what the same performance could be worth across their full eligible volume, and carry the evidence consistently into the commercial conversation. The first touchpoint was an in-product notification on the Business overview. Rather than introducing Intelligent Acceptance with a generic product message, it led with the additional annual revenue available if the merchant’s measured performance was extended across their full eligible traffic.

Business overview page with an in-product notification leading with the additional annual revenue available to the merchant – Light mode Business overview page with an in-product notification leading with the additional annual revenue available to the merchant – Dark mode
Above: The Dashboard notification brought Intelligent Acceptance’s proven opportunity to the merchant’s attention.

The Intelligent Acceptance Dashboard then made the evidence concrete. It separated what had already happened from what could happen next. Merchants could see the revenue gained, their measured Boost and the proportion of traffic already being optimised, alongside the projected annual value if that performance was extended across their full eligible volume. Keeping realised and projected value together but clearly distinct was important. The commercial opportunity could be ambitious without presenting a projection as evidence.

Intelligent Acceptance dashboard panel showing revenue gained, acceptance rate boost and projected full-volume revenue – Light mode Intelligent Acceptance dashboard panel showing revenue gained, acceptance rate boost and projected full-volume revenue – Dark mode
Above: The Dashboard connected value already measured on live traffic with the opportunity available across the merchant’s full eligible volume.

Payments specialists could go deeper into the optimisations contributing to the result. The detail view showed the contribution from capabilities such as Network Tokens, Adaptive Messaging, 3D Secure configurations, Smart Payment Routing and Intelligent Retries, alongside their associated revenue and transaction impact. This allowed the headline proposition to remain simple while giving merchants who needed more evidence a path into what was driving the result.

Optimisations applied detail drawer, listing Network Tokens, 3D Secure configurations, Adaptive messaging, Smart payment routing and Intelligent retries with their individual contribution – Light mode Optimisations applied detail drawer, listing Network Tokens, 3D Secure configurations, Adaptive messaging, Smart payment routing and Intelligent retries with their individual contribution – Dark mode
Above: The detail view of optimisations connected the headline result to the individual optimisations contributing to it.

Up to this point, the experience was the same for managed and unmanaged merchants. The difference was how the commercial conversation continued. For managed merchants, the Account Manager retained ownership of direct outreach. We deliberately avoided automated sales emails for these relationships. The Dashboard and notification surfaced the opportunity, while the Account Manager could decide when and how to introduce it using the same merchant-specific evidence already visible in the product.

Personal email from an Account Manager referencing the merchant's measured acceptance rate increase and revenue gained
Above: For managed merchants, the Account Manager email carried the merchant’s proven performance into a personalised commercial conversation.

For unmanaged merchants, the same evidence supported an automated email journey, with Merchant Support taking the follow-up where needed. The email carried through the measured Boost, revenue already gained and projected full-volume value shown in the product.

Automated marketing email showing projected annual revenue gain and a call to action to log in to the Dashboard
Above: For unmanaged merchants, the automated email carried the same proven performance into a direct merchant outreach.

The important design principle was continuity of evidence. The notification, Dashboard, email and commercial conversation all worked from the same measured result. The route into the conversation could change according to the merchant relationship, but the evidence did not. We chose to deliver this model before self-serve activation. A one-click path would have reduced friction, but the person viewing the Dashboard was not necessarily authorised to agree to a paid service, and some important merchants did not use the Dashboard as their primary relationship with Checkout. More importantly, our work with Commercial teams consistently showed that activation itself was not the main barrier. Proving the value was. The priority was therefore to get the timing, targeting and evidence right first.

07 – Making the evidence understandable
Making the evidence understandable

The activation message was only the first test of the evidence. Once merchants were using the Dashboard to monitor performance, the numbers had to withstand repeated scrutiny. We therefore started with the measurement itself rather than the interface. Working with Data Science, we moved the calculations onto a dependable schedule, removed metrics we could not defend and rebuilt figures that did not reconcile over time. Merchant interviews, Account Manager feedback and recurring support requests all pointed to the same failure in the existing experience: it showed that performance had improved without exposing enough of the evidence for a merchant to trust the result or justify the cost internally. We tested prototypes with merchants and Account Managers, compared alternative information hierarchies, assessed whether people could understand and explain the Boost, and reviewed the work through our internal design process. That testing changed the metric hierarchy, simplified the language, exposed more supporting evidence and reshaped the page around progressively deeper levels of detail.

Range of Dashboard information-hierarchy structures explored before the final design was established
Above: Dashboard exploration showing the range of structures tested before the final information hierarchy was established.

The final experience was organised around the three questions that kept returning through research and support conversations: what value am I receiving, where is it coming from, and why should I believe the number? It only surfaced once the improvement had reached the threshold defined with Data Science and remained consistent for two consecutive months. Everything shown to the merchant therefore represented proven, sustained performance rather than an early or inconclusive result. The top of the page answered the first question, the middle answered the second and the lower sections answered the third. A finance lead could take the headline result, while a payments specialist could continue into the evidence and methodology beneath it.

The complete Intelligent Acceptance Dashboard, from headline value through attribution, comparison and measurement methodology – Light mode The complete Intelligent Acceptance Dashboard, from headline value through attribution, comparison and measurement methodology – Dark mode
Above: The complete Dashboard, moving from headline value to attribution, comparison and measurement methodology.
What value am I receiving?

The page opened with the commercial result: recovered revenue, the acceptance rate improvement in percentage points against the merchant’s own baseline, and the number of transactions saved. A chart directly beneath showed how that improvement had performed across the selected period, connecting the headline result to its behaviour over time.

Dashboard hero showing recovered revenue, acceptance-rate improvement and transactions saved – Light mode Dashboard hero showing recovered revenue, acceptance-rate improvement and transactions saved – Dark mode
Above: Dashboard hero showing recovered revenue, acceptance-rate improvement and transactions saved as the proven commercial result.
Where is it coming from?

The optimisation breakdown attributed the measured improvement to the individual levers working on that merchant’s traffic, including dynamic routing, adaptive messaging, network tokens and smart authentication. This answered the most common merchant question directly: which parts of the engine are actually helping my payments?

Breakdown by optimisation type, showing the contribution of dynamic routing, adaptive messaging, network tokens and smart authentication – Light mode Breakdown by optimisation type, showing the contribution of dynamic routing, adaptive messaging, network tokens and smart authentication – Dark mode
Above: Breakdown by optimisation type, connecting the overall improvement to the individual levers working across the merchant’s traffic.

The next section separated the result by attempt, showing how much of the improvement came from optimising the first presentation of a payment and how much came from recovering declines through retries. The first-attempt view placed optimised traffic and the control group side by side, including their traffic split, transaction volumes, acceptance rates, transactions saved and recovered revenue.

Breakdown by attempt, comparing optimised traffic and the control group across traffic split, transactions and acceptance rate – Light mode Breakdown by attempt, comparing optimised traffic and the control group across traffic split, transactions and acceptance rate – Dark mode
Above: Breakdown by attempt, separating first-attempt improvements from retries and comparing optimised traffic with the control group.

The first attempt chart then showed how that part of the improvement varied across the year. It retained the confidence interval rather than smoothing the data into one artificially clean line, exposing the natural variation behind a result that had already met the threshold for proven value.

First-attempt acceptance-rate boost over time, shown with its confidence interval – Light mode First-attempt acceptance-rate boost over time, shown with its confidence interval – Dark mode
Above: First-attempt performance over time, with the confidence interval showing the variation behind the proven result.

Retries completed the attribution story by showing the total number of declines, how many were retried and saved, and the success rate across individual decline reasons. Together, these views showed whether value was being created by improving the original payment request, recovering failed payments afterwards, or both.

Retry performance broken down by decline reason, showing declines, retries, saved transactions and success rate – Light mode Retry performance broken down by decline reason, showing declines, retries, saved transactions and success rate – Dark mode
Above: Retry performance broken down by decline reason, showing where failed payments were successfully recovered.
Why should I believe the number?

The final layer explained how the Boost was calculated through a progressive walkthrough. Rather than presenting the full methodology at once, each step built on the last, moving from total payment volume into the optimised and control groups, then through authorised, declined and retried transactions, before resolving into the acceptance-rate improvement and estimated recovered revenue. This made the calculation traceable without overwhelming the reader. Merchants could follow the logic behind the headline figure at their own pace, while payments specialists still had enough depth to scrutinise the methodology.

Above: The walkthrough built the calculation step by step, from total transaction volume to the final acceptance-rate improvement and estimated recovered revenue.

By the end of the walkthrough, the merchant was not only being told that the Boost was real. They had seen how the result was constructed and had enough evidence to explain it themselves. A number that could be defended to a finance leader was trusted differently from one that simply arrived with the authority of an AI model, and that difference was the central design outcome of the experience.

08 – Challenges
Challenges

Building a product whose job is to prove its own worth meant the hardest decisions were rarely about what could be shown. They were about what could be claimed, when it was responsible to claim it and how the operating model around the product should respond.

Designing for statistical honesty
The product had to resist surfacing value before the evidence was strong enough to support it. Control groups, statistical significance and confidence needed to shape when a result entered the merchant experience, not simply how it was explained afterwards. The 0.5 percentage-point threshold and two-month consistency requirement were product safeguards as much as statistical ones, preventing temporary movement in the data from becoming a commercial claim.
Data correctness as part of the experience
A Dashboard used to support a commercial decision could not be approximately right. Metrics that changed unexpectedly or failed to reconcile undermined the entire proposition, regardless of the quality of the interface. Some figures were removed because they could not be defended; others were rebuilt before they were designed.
Balancing trust with commercial ownership
The ability to optimise a proportion of traffic and retain a control group was already covered by merchant agreements, but running the product before an active sales conversation still created debate about perception and relationship ownership. We addressed that through explainability and a clear activation model. Merchants could see what had happened and how the result had been measured, while Account Managers retained control of outreach for the relationships they owned.
Designing on a changing platform
A newer routing system added technical layers while the work was in progress, and the experience had to operate across merchant tiers with different sales cycles and levels of support.
09 – Outcomes
Outcomes

By the beginning of 2026, Intelligent Acceptance was delivering measurable value across Checkout’s merchant portfolio, increasing acceptance, recovering revenue that would otherwise have been lost, and reducing unnecessary payment retries.

The impact showed up across payment performance, merchant revenue, processing efficiency and scale. Boosts were substantial across the portfolio, billions in merchant revenue were recovered, retry volumes fell, and the engine was operating across billions of live payment decisions.

3.8pp
Average acceptance-rate Boost
The average Boost was measured against live control groups rather than projections, with an uplift of 3.8 percentage points across the merchant portfolio and individual merchants seeing up to 9.5pp. For a merchant processing $1 billion annually, that average equated to roughly $38 million in recovered revenue each year.
$20.7B
Merchant revenue unlocked
Intelligent Acceptance had unlocked more than $20.7 billion in merchant revenue from payments that would otherwise have been declined, including $11.2 billion in 2025 alone. It showed the scale of the value the product was already creating and why making that value visible and defensible mattered.
7% fewer retries
Lower payment costs as well as higher acceptance
Intelligent Acceptance reduced payment retries by 7%, avoiding around $1 million in scheme and gateway fees. The impact was not only more approved payments and recovered revenue, but a more efficient payment flow with less unnecessary processing.
10.5 billion
Optimisations run in 2025
Intelligent Acceptance made 10.5 billion optimisation decisions across live payments in 2025, continuously adjusting routing, messaging, authentication and token use to improve the likelihood of approval.
10 – Reflection
Reflection

The takeaway from this work was that an AI product can perform exceptionally well and still struggle to earn adoption. Intelligent Acceptance was producing meaningful gains, but those gains only became commercially useful when merchants could see enough evidence to trust what the models were doing and explain the value.

That shifted the role of Design much further upstream. We were not simply redesigning a Dashboard. We were shaping when value was strong enough to become a commercial claim, how it should be measured, and how the product and commercial experience should respond once that value had been proven.

Explainability also turned out not to mean exposing everything. Finance teams needed a small number of credible figures they could defend. Payments specialists needed a path into the attribution, comparison and methodology behind them. Designing that hierarchy allowed the experience to remain simple at first glance without becoming a black box underneath.

The more interesting opportunity in AI products is not making the intelligence visible for its own sake. It is deciding what evidence people need in order to trust the decisions being made on their behalf, and building that proof into the product from the start.

What’s next

Self-serve activation is the next step once the broader permissioning it depends on is in place. A one-click upgrade only works when the product can verify that the person acting has authority to agree to a paid service. Once that is solved, the model can close the loop: Intelligent Acceptance proves value on the merchant’s own traffic, explains that value clearly enough to be trusted, and lets the right person extend it across their full volume without waiting for a sales call.